Spectrum Management Blog

By Spectrum Management Group | August 3, 2017

One of These 3 Black Swans Could Trigger a Global Recession by End of 2018

Exactly ten years ago, we were months away from a world-shaking financial crisis. By late 2006, we had an inverted yield curve steep to be a high-probability indicator of recession.

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Topics: Economy, recession

By Spectrum Management Group | July 24, 2017

What the Decline in the U.S. Dollar Means

The value of the dollar has fallen steadily since the beginning of 2017. To take one example, the number of euros that can be obtained for one dollar has declined to the lowest level in more than a year. The dollar has also declined against the Brittish pound, the Japanese yen and the Chinese renminbi.

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Topics: Consumer Sentiment, Economy, Personal Finance

By Spectrum Management Group | June 1, 2017

Fed Signals June Rate Hike Likely

Get ready for the third rate hike in seven months. Federal Reserve officials indicated they may raise rates again in June, according to minutes from their meeting in May.

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Topics: Economy, Interest Rates

By Spectrum Management Group | May 24, 2017

An Investment Principle Warren Buffet Uses Can Improve Almost Any Area Of Your Life If You Know How To Apply It

This term, margin of safety, is an engineering concept used to descripe the ability of a system to withstand loads that are greater than expected. Maintaining a proper margin of safety is crucial not only in construction and engineering, but also in many areas of daily life.

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Topics: Market Outlook, Economy, Well Being

By Spectrum Management Group | May 17, 2017

Video: Martin Feldstein Says U.S. Economy is in Very Good Shape

 

Martin Feldstein, professor of economics at Harvard University, discusses the U.S. economy and outlook for the second quarter. He speaks with Bloomberg's Alix Steel, Jonathan Ferro and David Westin on "Bloomberg Daybreak: Americas."

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Topics: Markets and Investing, Market Outlook, Economy

By Spectrum Management Group | May 16, 2017

It's Not Just the VIX - Low Volatility is Everywhere

 

The current slump in expectations of market volatility is not just a stock market phenomenon -- it is the lowest it's been for years across fixed income, currency and commodity markets around the world.

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Topics: Markets and Investing, Stocks, Economy

By Spectrum Management Group | May 11, 2017

Why Stocks aren't Going Anywhere Lately

In the past week, the Federal Reserve expressed confidence in America's economy, the U.S. unemployment rate hit a 10-year low,a nd the presidential election in France showed that the tide of anti-European Union populism may be ebbing.   You'd think these events would lift the stock market. But they haven't.

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Topics: Stocks, Economy

By Spectrum Management Group | May 2, 2017

The Economy Grew 0.7 Percent in First Quarter Under Trump

America's gross domestic product, a broad measure of economic growth, grew by just 0.7 percent in the first three months of the year, according to government data issued Friday morning, an estimate economists say is more likely due to measurement error than Donald Trump's performance as president.

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Topics: Economy, Taxes

By Spectrum Management Group | February 2, 2017

Here is the Letter the World's Largest Investor, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink, Just Sent to CEOs Everywhere

Larry Fink, the chief executive at BlackRock, which with $5.1 trillion is the world's biggest investor, just sent his annual letter to chief executives at S&P 500 companies and large European corporations.

Fink focused on how to think long-term in this "new world" that has negated all the assumptions investors had a year ago about, for example, who would be the US president.

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Topics: Retirement, Stocks, Economy, Wealth Management

By Spectrum Management Group | February 1, 2017

How Much does the U.S. Import from Mexico?

President Trump’s administration is exploring the option of levying a tax on U.S. imports from Mexico. White House Press Secretary Sean Spicer told reporters Thursday that the tax could be as high as 20%. Such a hefty burden could impact United States' trade with its third largest trade partner, which exports everything from cars to televisions, fresh fruits to beer, and crude oil to edible oil.

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Topics: Economy